Are we counting our Virginia Chickens too soon ? ...

[dogtag]

I posted earlier that the Virginia election might be the Canary in the Coal Mine.
The Polls suggest it's neck and neck which I find surprising due to the
unpopularity of Biden and Mc Auliffe especially as the latter thinks Teachers
should decide what to teach, thus ignoring Parents' input.
GOP Press are heralding a Youngkin victory apparently discounting the democrats
prowess at cheating. Story below is an example of Judge aiding the cheaters:

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/judge-dismisses-lawsuit-claiming-virginia-county-improperly-accepted-absentee-ballot-applications

[Art]

If it's close, two points or less for Youngkin, it's going to court and the Democrats are real good at that. They've had two straight administrations to change up the judiciary which won't help if it goes to court. The McAuliff campaign has already hired a high profile election lawyer anticipating a close loss.

On the bright side, Republicans almost always over perform relative to the polls. For example, in the last Presidential election Biden was ahead by about seven points in the Real Clear Politics average of all polls and Biden won by about four in the popular vote. There is a rule of thumb that if a Republican candidate is behind by less than two points in the polls that candidate will probably win. Youngkin is up by two in the Real Clear average which would portend a 4 - 5 point win for Youngkin That's just the way it has worked out. That does not mean that's how it will work out tomorrow.

A fly in the ointment for the Republicans is the large number of Democrats who voted absentee before McAuliff started to slip. We don't have an election day in most states, we have an election month.

In the generic congressional ballot the difference is even more striking...on that system of polling if the Republicans are within seven points they're ahead. Right now the Republicans are down two on the generic congressional ballot and that has the Dems sweating bullets about the mid terms next year.

On a side note. Joe Manchin drove a stake into the heart of the Biden agenda today saying he will not participate in a budget "shell game."

[barretcreek]

Dem's advantage is in the unlimited mail ballot and harvesting. Media scum want instant returns vs the time it would take to count in person voting with paper ballots. And the specter of election fraud increases viewing so why not encourage it.

[Johnny P]

Large democrat counties having trouble getting their votes in. Trying to calculate how many votes they need to win without turning in more votes than they have voters.

[Robert Scott]

I think the chicken counting can start again...not all of the counties eggs are hatched but it's looking good so far...

[dogtag]

They're going to keep counting until Friday, for those mail ins with correct postmark.
You can bet they've got ballot hidden they can swap out.
The democrats excel at fraud as it's the only way they can win.

[Roadkingtrax]

They're going to keep counting until Friday, for those mail ins with correct postmark.
You can bet they've got ballot hidden they can swap out.
The democrats excel at fraud as it's the only way they can win.

Good for Virginia.

If you voted out in California, you might be taken seriously.

[lyman]

Mc is almost 9% down now,
we will see how it pans out when the absentee ballots are dropped

[Art]

Mc is almost 9% down now,
we will see how it pans out when the absentee ballots are dropped

Well, he did it. The "Rs" won every statewide office. Things are real close for governor of New Jersey too.

[lyman]

Fast Terry conceded this morning,

done deal, thankfully,


ETA apparently the left on TV have been having a mini meltdown,

so be it,