Saturday coffee June 17

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  • 5thDragoons
    Super Moderator
    • Apr 2023
    • 652

    #1

    Saturday coffee June 17

    Plenty of rain this week. I've discovered when the weather guesser says 0% chance, better roll the windows up. Must be nice to have a job where you're wrong so much and still get paid. 49 this morning and it felt nice!

    The annual father's day car show is going on, and the parade might not get rained out. Maybe. Some neat old rides cruising Haystack. One that really caught my attention was a 50s vintage Hudson sedan with Texas plates. It was sitting right but just clear coat for paint.
    "Shift-o-matic" tranny. A fellow from Colo has a vintage COE tractor & double deck car trailer. Brings 6 way cool hot rods every year.

    Might wander down to main st & watch the parade... might not.

    Lawn is close to needing mowed again, but not today. Tomorrow doesn't look good, either. Back to being quiet now so wifey can snooze. SW
  • lyman
    Administrator - OFC
    • Aug 2009
    • 11268

    #2
    gunshow weekend,
    the 'big one' in NOVA,

    decent day yesterday, hopefully that will continue,

    this is not the best month for this show, lots of folks on vacation since most high schools graduated in the past 2 weeks,

    Comment

    • Allen
      Moderator
      • Sep 2009
      • 10583

      #3
      Originally posted by 5thDragoons
      Plenty of rain this week. I've discovered when the weather guesser says 0% chance, better roll the windows up. Must be nice to have a job where you're wrong so much and still get paid.
      For the most part they are incapable of making a 10 hour forecast yet they predict a 10 DAY forecast which changes every few hours.
      Attached Files

      Comment

      • Doc Sharptail
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2023
        • 431

        #4
        Originally posted by 5thDragoons
        Plenty of rain this week. I've discovered when the weather guesser says 0% chance, better roll the windows up. Must be nice to have a job where you're wrong so much and still get paid. 49 this morning and it felt nice!

        The annual father's day car show is going on, and the parade might not get rained out. Maybe. Some neat old rides cruising Haystack. One that really caught my attention was a 50s vintage Hudson sedan with Texas plates. It was sitting right but just clear coat for paint.
        "Shift-o-matic" tranny. A fellow from Colo has a vintage COE tractor & double deck car trailer. Brings 6 way cool hot rods every year.

        Might wander down to main st & watch the parade... might not.

        Lawn is close to needing mowed again, but not today. Tomorrow doesn't look good, either. Back to being quiet now so wifey can snooze. SW
        Get pix if you go. Would be reason enough for me, but I like photographing those old cars. I should go down Portage west and see what's around this afternoon.

        Haven't had much rain here, and the west of us is incredibly dry. 74 F as I type this. Wonder if anyone else has noticed the normal summer west to east wind current is largely absent this year. Maybe those wildfires are actually creating their own weather...

        Regards,

        Doc Sharptail

        Comment

        • Allen
          Moderator
          • Sep 2009
          • 10583

          #5
          Rain.

          For those of you who may think I exaggerate over the amount of rain we get here there is this.

          More heavy rain is likely for Pensacola, and the risk of flooding is higher now because the soil is saturated from the previous storms.

          Comment

          • Dragonsdad
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2023
            • 382

            #6
            Federal hydrologist report stated our average precipitation in the Great Basin runs around 6" a year.
            It went on to claim an increase to 10" would bring back the Pleistocene lakes.

            We measure storms in increments of tenths of an inch.
            Your weather is ...different.

            Comment

            • Allen
              Moderator
              • Sep 2009
              • 10583

              #7
              Originally posted by Dragonsdad
              Federal hydrologist report stated our average precipitation in the Great Basin runs around 6" a year.
              It went on to claim an increase to 10" would bring back the Pleistocene lakes.

              We measure storms in increments of tenths of an inch.
              Your weather is ...different.
              We had a big front pass through today. After it passed I told my wife I needed to go to the store and pick up some items between rain storms. I looked at the NOAA weather map and it showed the tail end of the front that had passed and clear skies from Alabama all the way to Nevada or so. I took my chances. Before I arrived at the store (10 miles away) it started raining. It rained hard while I was in the store--I got drenched loading the groceries into my truck. It rained the rest of the day with local tornado's touching down. We are under flash flood warnings now. This is a typical day. You can't plan any thing.

              I looked at the map when I got home and a "new" front was showing over us about the size of Texas that came up from nowhere.

              I believe our 10 day forecast was for a 30% chance of rain yesterday (it rained) and a 10% chance for today and the rest of the week. Stoned pot heads could make better predictions.

              What I decided when I was a child is apparently true---it rains every day---period. A 30% prediction just means we get 30% of all the rain that falls for that day.

              Comment

              • lyman
                Administrator - OFC
                • Aug 2009
                • 11268

                #8
                visited Fla when i was in College,
                had a freind that had a brother in Orlando, so we had a place to stay

                it literally rained every day,

                not long, usually, but it did rain every day we were there (mid/late may)

                usually about 30 minutes, never the same time of day

                Comment

                • Vern Humphrey
                  Administrator - OFC
                  • Aug 2009
                  • 15875

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Dragonsdad
                  Federal hydrologist report stated our average precipitation in the Great Basin runs around 6" a year.
                  It went on to claim an increase to 10" would bring back the Pleistocene lakes.

                  We measure storms in increments of tenths of an inch.
                  Your weather is ...different.
                  Maybe Lake Missoula will re-form, and when the ice dam breaks, that will solve a lot of the Left Coast problems.

                  Comment

                  • Dragonsdad
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2023
                    • 382

                    #10
                    Here, a 30% chance of precip puts the odds at a fraction of 50%. In other words... unlikely at best.
                    You need a new Weather Witch, preferably one with better math skills.

                    We've been hoping an earthquake will offer a solution for our coastal population issues. No luck yet.
                    If it takes an ice age to setup another Lake Missoula, I'd have to vote that down. Woodshed only holds three cord.

                    that reminds me...
                    ...time to finish my coffee, hit the grocery store then finish up in that woodshed I mentioned.
                    I had my firewood brought in last week and there's some odds and ends to put away.

                    later...
                    Last edited by Dragonsdad; 06-20-2023, 07:55.

                    Comment

                    • Allen
                      Moderator
                      • Sep 2009
                      • 10583

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Dragonsdad
                      Here, a 30% chance of precip puts the odds at a fraction of 50%. In other words... unlikely at best.
                      You need a new Weather Witch, preferably one with better math skills.
                      I've always known the local TV forecasters were brain dead. I read NOAA and Wunderground though they aren't much better. My point is, weather is hard to predict, and apparently impossible here, so why are they giving out 10 day forecast?

                      I don't see how anything can grow with a 6" annual rainfall. Seems to me the deserts would get more water than that.

                      - - - Updated - - -

                      Originally posted by Dragonsdad
                      We've been hoping an earthquake will offer a solution for our coastal population issues. No luck yet.
                      Remember, if that ever happens it will be because of "global warming".

                      Comment

                      • Dragonsdad
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2023
                        • 382

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Allen
                        ***

                        Remember, if that ever happens it will be because of "global warming".
                        I think it's all 'climate change' now.
                        That way they're covered no matter what happens.

                        Comment

                        • Dragonsdad
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2023
                          • 382

                          #13
                          I don't see how anything can grow with a 6" annual rainfall.

                          Not by some standards but quite a bit, actually. Seasonal grasses / sagebrush / some evergreens / etc.
                          Sage Hen hunting on the Northern Nevada mesa tops. Camp with two trucks and tents to the lower right-
                          SageHen_Camp_1.jpg

                          4 bird limit
                          selfie.jpg

                          Comment

                          • Allen
                            Moderator
                            • Sep 2009
                            • 10583

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Dragonsdad
                            I think it's all 'climate change' now.
                            That way they're covered no matter what happens.
                            Right. When the cold winters were exposing their BS they changed the name.

                            They still claim the sea's are rising too.

                            Comment

                            • Allen
                              Moderator
                              • Sep 2009
                              • 10583

                              #15
                              Yard starting to look a little shabby. Grass isn't too bad but weeds and crabgrass shoots are poking through.

                              Went to start my mower. Almost made it all the way to the barn where I keep it but got rained out. I got within 100' of it though so that's an improvement.

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